Sky Sports activities tipster Jones Is aware of is off to the races on Gold Cup day and has three tricks to try to take down the bookmakers with.
Respecting earlier Cheltenham Competition type often is the important thing to unlocking winners this week however generally that issue performs too closely on a market. That’s the case within the Boodles Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase (3.30) the place BRAVEMANSGAME (2pts WIN at 13/2 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!) place available in the market is being too closely influenced by his sole run on the observe the place he completed third within the 2021 Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle.
Many have deemed that one run sufficient proof to declare Cheltenham unsuitable for the horse however I might be inclined to place that defeat all the way down to the type of the Paul Nicholls yard that week. Nicholls did not have a winner from his 20 runners on the Competition in 2021 with solely three hitting the body.
Should you take away the ‘Cheltenham issue’, you’re looking at every thing you need from a Gold Cup winner in that Bravesmangame is a second season chaser that has gained two of the main trials when operating away with the Betfair Chase and King George VI Chase at Kempton. Galopin Des Champs rightly heads the betting for the Willie Mullins yard however to my eyes and evaluation Bravesmangame has put up comparable ranges of performances over fences this season and the discrepancy between the 2 available in the market is simply too huge. Get on.
I’m an absolute sucker for backing horses returning in the identical race they ran nicely in on the earlier Cheltenham Competition and that is my angle for the McCoy Contractors County Handicap Hurdle (2.10).
Previous outcomes counsel this often goes to an unexposed novice or second season hurdler from Eire however on the costs, and with Sky Guess paying eight locations, FIRST STREET (1pt EW at 18/1 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!) and MILKWOOD (1pt EW at 25/1 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!) are value an funding. First Road chased residence the insanely well-handicapped winner State Man final season, discovering lots for stress off the bridle within the closing phases. That type is sizzling with State Man going onto successful Grade Ones and chasing residence Structure Hill within the Champion Hurdle on Tuesday. Nicky Henderson’s cost is up 10lbs from final season however stays in nice type. I am undecided the rise will cease him operating nicely at a observe he loves.
Milkwood ran third within the 2021 County Hurdle and seemed the possible winner on the last flight earlier than being collared by Belfast Banter, who was merely given the extra environment friendly journey. The choice returns two years later simply 1lb greater and on the again of a greater than it seemed run at Wetherby, the place he travelled along with his standard zest earlier than getting drained shut residence. That may have put him spot on and the applying of a first-time hood solely additional will increase the probabilities of enchancment.
P+L after day three: -17
Staking plan:
2.10 – FIRST STREET (1pt EW at 18/1 with Sky Guess) & MILKWOOD (1pt EW at 25/1 with Sky Guess)
3.30 – BRAVESMANGAME (2pts WIN at 13/2 with Sky Guess)